Nicholls Colonels 81, Incarnate Word Cardinals 55
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-09 · Winner: Nicholls Colonels
Nicholls Colonels defeated Incarnate Word Cardinals 81–55 on 2026-03-09 in NCAA Women's play, a 26-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q3 1:13 swung win probability 25% → 1%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Incarnate Word Cardinals lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholls Colonels | 15 | 11 | 31 | 24 | 81 |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 10 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 55 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q3 1:13 swung win probability 25% → 1%.
Why Incarnate Word Cardinals lost
- Lost Q3 14-31 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 1:13 (win probability 25% → 1% for the home side).
- Shot 36.7% eFG vs a 46.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 18-9.
- Outscored 21-11 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholls Colonels | 9–0 | Q3 1:13 | 25% → 1% |