Mercer Bears 45, Furman Paladins 66
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-05 · Winner: Furman Paladins
Furman Paladins defeated Mercer Bears 66–45 on 2026-03-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 21-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 4:42 swung win probability 41% → 83%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mercer Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 12 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 45 |
| Furman Paladins | 11 | 18 | 16 | 21 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 4:42 swung win probability 41% → 83%.
Why Mercer Bears lost
- Lost Q4 6-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q4 1:41 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 37.8% eFG vs a 42.6% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-16.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Furman Paladins | 8–0 | Q3 4:42 | 41% → 83% |
| Furman Paladins | 8–0 | Q3 1:09 | 57% → 94% |
| Furman Paladins | 12–0 | Q4 1:41 | 100% → 100% |