Missouri Tigers 48, Alabama Crimson Tide 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-04 · Winner: Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama Crimson Tide defeated Missouri Tigers 65–48 on 2026-03-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q4 8:36 swung win probability 63% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Missouri Tigers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri Tigers | 9 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 48 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 13 | 18 | 10 | 24 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q4 8:36 swung win probability 63% → 100%.
Why Missouri Tigers lost
- Lost Q4 11-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q4 8:36 (win probability 63% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 33.3% eFG vs a 50.8% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 8–0 | Q2 9:27 | 57% → 85% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 8–0 | Q2 2:14 | 83% → 98% |
| Missouri Tigers | 9–0 | Q3 7:29 | 98% → 82% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 12–0 | Q4 8:36 | 63% → 100% |