Le Moyne Dolphins 54, Wagner Seahawks 47
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-09 · Winner: Le Moyne Dolphins
Le Moyne Dolphins defeated Wagner Seahawks 54–47 on 2026-03-09 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:28 swung win probability 57% → 5%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Wagner Seahawks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Moyne Dolphins | 11 | 14 | 18 | 11 | 54 |
| Wagner Seahawks | 13 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 47 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:28 swung win probability 57% → 5%.
Why Wagner Seahawks lost
- Lost Q3 9-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 8:28 (win probability 57% → 5% for the home side).
- Shot 36.1% eFG vs a 41.1% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Moyne Dolphins | 8–0 | Q2 0:27 | 86% → 54% |
| Le Moyne Dolphins | 9–0 | Q4 8:28 | 57% → 5% |
| Wagner Seahawks | 8–0 | Q4 1:13 | 4% → 32% |