Air Force Falcons 42, Colorado State Rams 56
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-10 · Winner: Colorado State Rams
Colorado State Rams defeated Air Force Falcons 56–42 on 2026-03-10 in NCAA Women's play, a 14-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q2 6:45 swung win probability 88% → 51%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Air Force Falcons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 14 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 42 |
| Colorado State Rams | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 56 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q2 6:45 swung win probability 88% → 51%.
Why Air Force Falcons lost
- Lost Q4 10-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 6:32 (win probability 55% → 83% for the home side).
- Shot 29.8% eFG vs a 40.5% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 19-5 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado State Rams | 9–0 | Q1 6:32 | 55% → 83% |
| Air Force Falcons | 11–0 | Q2 6:45 | 88% → 51% |
| Colorado State Rams | 9–0 | Q4 2:09 | 64% → 100% |