Air Force Falcons 68, Boise State Broncos 66
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-09 · Winner: Air Force Falcons
Air Force Falcons defeated Boise State Broncos 68–66 on 2026-03-09 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 2:08 swung win probability 79% → 1%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Boise State Broncos lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 18 | 11 | 18 | 21 | 68 |
| Boise State Broncos | 11 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 2:08 swung win probability 79% → 1%.
Why Boise State Broncos lost
- Lost Q1 11-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 2:08 (win probability 79% → 1% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 13-9.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons | 8–0 | Q1 6:08 | 69% → 39% |
| Boise State Broncos | 8–0 | Q2 3:56 | 43% → 76% |
| Air Force Falcons | 9–0 | Q4 2:08 | 79% → 1% |