Grand Canyon Lopes 59, Colorado State Rams 61
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-08 · Winner: Colorado State Rams
Colorado State Rams defeated Grand Canyon Lopes 61–59 on 2026-03-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 8:43 swung win probability 3% → 33%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Grand Canyon Lopes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 11 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 59 |
| Colorado State Rams | 13 | 8 | 15 | 25 | 61 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 8:43 swung win probability 3% → 33%.
Why Grand Canyon Lopes lost
- Lost Q4 15-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 8:43 (win probability 3% → 33% for the home side).
- Shot 37.0% eFG vs a 45.1% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado State Rams | 9–0 | Q4 8:43 | 3% → 33% |