Utah State Aggies 58, Grand Canyon Lopes 75
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Grand Canyon Lopes
Grand Canyon Lopes defeated Utah State Aggies 75–58 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q3 9:48 swung win probability 11% → 59%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Utah State Aggies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State Aggies | 19 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 58 |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 15 | 16 | 23 | 21 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q3 9:48 swung win probability 11% → 59%.
Why Utah State Aggies lost
- Lost Q4 9-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q3 9:48 (win probability 11% → 59% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State Aggies | 8–0 | Q1 5:42 | 69% → 39% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 13–0 | Q3 9:48 | 11% → 59% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 8–0 | Q3 3:09 | 53% → 90% |