Nevada Wolf Pack 57, Fresno State Bulldogs 74
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Fresno State Bulldogs
Fresno State Bulldogs defeated Nevada Wolf Pack 74–57 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 7:10 swung win probability 72% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Nevada Wolf Pack lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 10 | 12 | 25 | 10 | 57 |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 21 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 7:10 swung win probability 72% → 94%.
Why Nevada Wolf Pack lost
- Lost Q1 10-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 7:10 (win probability 72% → 94% for the home side).
- Shot 33.7% eFG vs a 41.8% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 10–0 | Q1 7:10 | 72% → 94% |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 13–0 | Q3 5:34 | 100% → 83% |