San José State Spartans 51, Boise State Broncos 68
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Boise State Broncos
Boise State Broncos defeated San José State Spartans 68–51 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:32 swung win probability 93% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why San José State Spartans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San José State Spartans | 16 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 51 |
| Boise State Broncos | 20 | 12 | 18 | 18 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:32 swung win probability 93% → 100%.
Why San José State Spartans lost
- Lost Q3 12-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 5:32 (win probability 93% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 35.6% eFG vs a 39.7% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 22-9 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State Broncos | 8–0 | Q3 5:32 | 93% → 100% |
| San José State Spartans | 9–0 | Q4 9:06 | 100% → 98% |