Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers 48, Merrimack Warriors 62
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Merrimack Warriors
Merrimack Warriors defeated Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers 62–48 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 14-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q3 8:30 swung win probability 28% → 82%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 16 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 48 |
| Merrimack Warriors | 14 | 12 | 21 | 15 | 62 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q3 8:30 swung win probability 28% → 82%.
Why Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers lost
- Lost Q3 11-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q3 8:30 (win probability 28% → 82% for the home side).
- Shot 31.3% eFG vs a 42.0% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors | 12–0 | Q3 8:30 | 28% → 82% |