Sacred Heart Pioneers 53, Fairfield Stags 69
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-06 · Winner: Fairfield Stags
Fairfield Stags defeated Sacred Heart Pioneers 69–53 on 2026-03-06 in NCAA Women's play, a 16-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:58 swung win probability 72% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sacred Heart Pioneers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacred Heart Pioneers | 18 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 53 |
| Fairfield Stags | 20 | 15 | 19 | 15 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:58 swung win probability 72% → 98%.
Why Sacred Heart Pioneers lost
- Lost Q3 9-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 2:58 (win probability 72% → 98% for the home side).
- Shot 38.0% eFG vs a 43.2% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 19-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield Stags | 12–0 | Q2 2:58 | 72% → 98% |
| Fairfield Stags | 9–0 | Q3 0:02 | 98% → 100% |
| Fairfield Stags | 8–0 | Q4 5:24 | 100% → 100% |
| Sacred Heart Pioneers | 11–0 | Q4 0:18 | 100% → 100% |