Missouri State Lady Bears 69, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 66
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-12 · Winner: Missouri State Lady Bears
Missouri State Lady Bears defeated Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 69–66 on 2026-03-12 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:37 swung win probability 38% → 8%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 20 | 15 | 20 | 14 | 69 |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 13 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:37 swung win probability 38% → 8%.
Why Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost
- Lost Q1 13-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 3:37 (win probability 38% → 8% for the home side).
- Shot 42.5% eFG vs a 46.5% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State Lady Bears | 9–0 | Q2 3:37 | 38% → 8% |