UC Davis Aggies 79, UC San Diego Tritons 84
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-13 · Winner: UC San Diego Tritons
UC San Diego Tritons defeated UC Davis Aggies 84–79 on 2026-03-13 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:54 swung win probability 64% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC Davis Aggies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | 17 | 18 | 18 | 26 | 79 |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 22 | 20 | 17 | 25 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:54 swung win probability 64% → 95%.
Why UC Davis Aggies lost
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 2:54 (win probability 64% → 95% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 11-7.
- Outscored 16-7 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego Tritons | 8–0 | Q1 2:34 | 35% → 65% |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 8–0 | Q1 0:33 | 57% → 84% |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 11–0 | Q2 2:54 | 64% → 95% |