Michigan Wolverines 42, Iowa Hawkeyes 59
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa Hawkeyes defeated Michigan Wolverines 59–42 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:31 swung win probability 71% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Michigan Wolverines lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | 4 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 42 |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 13 | 15 | 7 | 24 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:31 swung win probability 71% → 100%.
Why Michigan Wolverines lost
- Lost Q4 6-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 4:31 (win probability 71% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 30.5% eFG vs a 51.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | 8–0 | Q2 9:15 | 92% → 72% |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 10–0 | Q4 4:31 | 71% → 100% |