Illinois Fighting Illini 71, Michigan State Spartans 69
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-05 · Winner: Illinois Fighting Illini
Illinois Fighting Illini defeated Michigan State Spartans 71–69 on 2026-03-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:32 swung win probability 18% → 63%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Michigan State Spartans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 20 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 71 |
| Michigan State Spartans | 17 | 12 | 19 | 21 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:32 swung win probability 18% → 63%.
Why Michigan State Spartans lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q1 0:14 (win probability 79% → 48% for the home side).
- Shot 45.1% eFG vs a 53.4% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 8–0 | Q1 0:14 | 79% → 48% |
| Michigan State Spartans | 9–0 | Q3 5:32 | 18% → 63% |