Wisconsin Badgers 70, Illinois Fighting Illini 82
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-04 · Winner: Illinois Fighting Illini
Illinois Fighting Illini defeated Wisconsin Badgers 82–70 on 2026-03-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q1 4:29 swung win probability 58% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Wisconsin Badgers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin Badgers | 17 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 70 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 23 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q1 4:29 swung win probability 58% → 90%.
Why Wisconsin Badgers lost
- Lost Q1 17-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q1 4:29 (win probability 58% → 90% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 19-14.
- Outscored 24-10 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 11–0 | Q1 4:29 | 58% → 90% |
| Wisconsin Badgers | 10–0 | Q2 0:40 | 98% → 84% |
| Wisconsin Badgers | 9–0 | Q3 7:12 | 94% → 64% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 8–0 | Q3 3:09 | 64% → 95% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 8–0 | Q3 0:41 | 87% → 100% |