Providence Friars 65, Villanova Wildcats 73
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Villanova Wildcats
Villanova Wildcats defeated Providence Friars 73–65 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q2 2:49 swung win probability 88% → 45%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Providence Friars lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Providence Friars | 16 | 19 | 12 | 18 | 65 |
| Villanova Wildcats | 23 | 15 | 20 | 15 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q2 2:49 swung win probability 88% → 45%.
Why Providence Friars lost
- Lost Q3 12-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q4 8:50 (win probability 69% → 100% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villanova Wildcats | 9–0 | Q2 7:45 | 79% → 96% |
| Providence Friars | 8–0 | Q2 5:40 | 96% → 83% |
| Providence Friars | 11–0 | Q2 2:49 | 88% → 45% |
| Villanova Wildcats | 16–0 | Q4 8:50 | 69% → 100% |
| Providence Friars | 9–0 | Q4 3:07 | 100% → 100% |