Kansas State Wildcats 62, TCU Horned Frogs 74
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: TCU Horned Frogs
TCU Horned Frogs defeated Kansas State Wildcats 74–62 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 9:20 swung win probability 30% → 69%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Kansas State Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats | 13 | 20 | 16 | 13 | 62 |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 10 | 22 | 24 | 18 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 9:20 swung win probability 30% → 69%.
Why Kansas State Wildcats lost
- Lost Q3 16-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q2 8:30 (win probability 48% → 79% for the home side).
- Shot 42.3% eFG vs a 49.6% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats | 8–0 | Q1 3:21 | 81% → 54% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 8–0 | Q2 8:30 | 48% → 79% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 8–0 | Q3 9:20 | 30% → 69% |