Kansas State Wildcats 58, Texas Tech Lady Raiders 51
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-05 · Winner: Kansas State Wildcats
Kansas State Wildcats defeated Texas Tech Lady Raiders 58–51 on 2026-03-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 21-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:19 swung win probability 100% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Texas Tech Lady Raiders lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats | 9 | 20 | 8 | 21 | 58 |
| Texas Tech Lady Raiders | 21 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 51 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 21-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:19 swung win probability 100% → 0%.
Why Texas Tech Lady Raiders lost
- Lost Q4 4-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 21-0 run ending at Q4 0:19 (win probability 100% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 33.9% eFG vs a 50.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-13.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech Lady Raiders | 9–0 | Q1 0:17 | 72% → 94% |
| Kansas State Wildcats | 10–0 | Q2 0:10 | 95% → 68% |
| Texas Tech Lady Raiders | 10–0 | Q4 7:43 | 80% → 100% |
| Kansas State Wildcats | 21–0 | Q4 0:19 | 100% → 0% |