Arizona Wildcats 51, Arizona State Sun Devils 54
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-04 · Winner: Arizona State Sun Devils
Arizona State Sun Devils defeated Arizona Wildcats 54–51 on 2026-03-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:21 swung win probability 31% → 65%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Arizona Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats | 17 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 51 |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 18 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 54 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:21 swung win probability 31% → 65%.
Why Arizona Wildcats lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 3:21 (win probability 31% → 65% for the home side).
- Shot 40.2% eFG vs a 48.1% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats | 8–0 | Q1 6:09 | 62% → 31% |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 9–0 | Q1 3:21 | 31% → 65% |