Dayton Flyers 85, George Mason Patriots 87
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-06 · Winner: George Mason Patriots
George Mason Patriots defeated Dayton Flyers 87–85 on 2026-03-06 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:05 swung win probability 5% → 55%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Dayton Flyers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton Flyers | 17 | 21 | 25 | 12 | 10 | 85 |
| George Mason Patriots | 20 | 12 | 23 | 20 | 12 | 87 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:05 swung win probability 5% → 55%.
Why Dayton Flyers lost
- Lost Q4 12-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 2:05 (win probability 5% → 55% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 21-9.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-9.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton Flyers | 10–0 | Q2 4:25 | 78% → 40% |
| George Mason Patriots | 10–0 | Q4 2:05 | 5% → 55% |