VCU Rams 52, Duquesne Dukes 60
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-04 · Winner: Duquesne Dukes
Duquesne Dukes defeated VCU Rams 60–52 on 2026-03-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 17-0 home team run ending at Q3 1:27 swung win probability 2% → 63%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why VCU Rams lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VCU Rams | 15 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 52 |
| Duquesne Dukes | 10 | 9 | 21 | 20 | 60 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 17-0 home team run ending at Q3 1:27 swung win probability 2% → 63%.
Why VCU Rams lost
- Lost Q3 9-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q3 1:27 (win probability 2% → 63% for the home side).
- Shot 37.3% eFG vs a 41.9% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| VCU Rams | 12–0 | Q1 1:55 | 72% → 26% |
| VCU Rams | 8–0 | Q3 5:48 | 22% → 2% |
| Duquesne Dukes | 17–0 | Q3 1:27 | 2% → 63% |