Central Arkansas Sugar Bears 58, Jacksonville Dolphins 67
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Jacksonville Dolphins
Jacksonville Dolphins defeated Central Arkansas Sugar Bears 67–58 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 4:21 swung win probability 62% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Central Arkansas Sugar Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 14 | 11 | 20 | 13 | 58 |
| Jacksonville Dolphins | 21 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 67 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 4:21 swung win probability 62% → 86%.
Why Central Arkansas Sugar Bears lost
- Lost Q1 14-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q1 4:21 (win probability 62% → 86% for the home side).
- Shot 32.5% eFG vs a 47.0% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Dolphins | 8–0 | Q1 4:21 | 62% → 86% |
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 8–0 | Q3 6:50 | 95% → 74% |