Bellarmine Knights 28, Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 94
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-03 · Winner: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles defeated Bellarmine Knights 94–28 on 2026-03-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 66-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:58 swung win probability 58% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Bellarmine Knights lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellarmine Knights | 11 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 28 |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 23 | 29 | 22 | 20 | 94 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:58 swung win probability 58% → 88%.
Why Bellarmine Knights lost
- Lost Q2 7-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 29-0 run ending at Q4 5:38 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 28.9% eFG vs a 36.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 20-7.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 23-2.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 10–0 | Q1 1:58 | 58% → 88% |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 19–0 | Q2 3:15 | 91% → 100% |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 9–0 | Q2 0:02 | 100% → 100% |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 29–0 | Q4 5:38 | 100% → 100% |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 8–0 | Q4 1:37 | 100% → 100% |