UTSA Roadrunners 54, East Carolina Pirates 44
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-13 · Winner: UTSA Roadrunners
UTSA Roadrunners defeated East Carolina Pirates 54–44 on 2026-03-13 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 3:24 swung win probability 72% → 1%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why East Carolina Pirates lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA Roadrunners | 15 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 54 |
| East Carolina Pirates | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 44 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 3:24 swung win probability 72% → 1%.
Why East Carolina Pirates lost
- Lost Q4 10-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 3:24 (win probability 72% → 1% for the home side).
- Shot 30.6% eFG vs a 43.8% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 16-3 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina Pirates | 10–0 | Q2 1:18 | 34% → 77% |
| UTSA Roadrunners | 9–0 | Q4 3:24 | 72% → 1% |