Louisville Cardinals 65, Duke Blue Devils 70
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-08 · Winner: Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils defeated Louisville Cardinals 70–65 on 2026-03-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 13-0 road team run ending at Q1 2:59 swung win probability 69% → 24%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Louisville Cardinals lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals | 21 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 65 |
| Duke Blue Devils | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 road team run ending at Q1 2:59 swung win probability 69% → 24%.
Why Louisville Cardinals lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 7:17 (win probability 25% → 61% for the home side).
- Outscored 18-6 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-14.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals | 13–0 | Q1 2:59 | 69% → 24% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 10–0 | Q2 7:17 | 25% → 61% |