Notre Dame Fighting Irish 63, Duke Blue Devils 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils defeated Notre Dame Fighting Irish 65–63 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 6:20 swung win probability 88% → 52%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Notre Dame Fighting Irish lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 11 | 20 | 18 | 14 | 63 |
| Duke Blue Devils | 17 | 21 | 8 | 19 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 6:20 swung win probability 88% → 52%.
Why Notre Dame Fighting Irish lost
- Lost Q1 11-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q1 6:13 (win probability 69% → 90% for the home side).
- Shot 43.3% eFG vs a 51.1% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 20-10.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 8–0 | Q1 6:13 | 69% → 90% |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 9–0 | Q1 0:25 | 94% → 76% |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 8–0 | Q3 6:20 | 88% → 52% |