Virginia Tech Hokies 68, North Carolina Tar Heels 85
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-06 · Winner: North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Virginia Tech Hokies 85–68 on 2026-03-06 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 2:31 swung win probability 72% → 41%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Virginia Tech Hokies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 16 | 11 | 24 | 17 | 68 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 11 | 29 | 24 | 21 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 2:31 swung win probability 72% → 41%.
Why Virginia Tech Hokies lost
- Lost Q2 11-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 9:10 (win probability 89% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 36.4% eFG vs a 44.8% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 8–0 | Q1 2:31 | 72% → 41% |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 10–0 | Q3 9:10 | 89% → 100% |
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 8–0 | Q3 3:34 | 100% → 94% |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 8–0 | Q4 1:02 | 100% → 100% |