Syracuse Orange 61, Louisville Cardinals 87
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-06 · Winner: Louisville Cardinals
Louisville Cardinals defeated Syracuse Orange 87–61 on 2026-03-06 in NCAA Women's play, a 26-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:43 swung win probability 88% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Syracuse Orange lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syracuse Orange | 12 | 21 | 14 | 14 | 61 |
| Louisville Cardinals | 25 | 20 | 17 | 25 | 87 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:43 swung win probability 88% → 99%.
Why Syracuse Orange lost
- Lost Q1 12-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q3 6:56 (win probability 93% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 37.3% eFG vs a 46.1% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Syracuse Orange | 9–0 | Q2 3:22 | 99% → 88% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 8–0 | Q2 1:43 | 88% → 99% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 12–0 | Q3 6:56 | 93% → 100% |
| Syracuse Orange | 11–0 | Q3 1:48 | 100% → 97% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 12–0 | Q4 8:29 | 97% → 100% |