Wake Forest Demon Deacons 52, California Golden Bears 75
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-04 · Winner: California Golden Bears
California Golden Bears defeated Wake Forest Demon Deacons 75–52 on 2026-03-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 23-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 3:40 swung win probability 51% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Wake Forest Demon Deacons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 10 | 11 | 12 | 19 | 52 |
| California Golden Bears | 11 | 21 | 29 | 14 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 3:40 swung win probability 51% → 88%.
Why Wake Forest Demon Deacons lost
- Lost Q3 12-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 3:40 (win probability 51% → 88% for the home side).
- Shot 42.9% eFG vs a 50.2% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 12-4 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 10-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Golden Bears | 10–0 | Q2 3:40 | 51% → 88% |
| California Golden Bears | 9–0 | Q3 7:46 | 91% → 100% |
| California Golden Bears | 9–0 | Q3 2:05 | 100% → 100% |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 8–0 | Q4 2:15 | 100% → 100% |