Southern Miss Lady Eagles 67, Toledo Rockets 76
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: Toledo Rockets
Toledo Rockets defeated Southern Miss Lady Eagles 76–67 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 9:25 swung win probability 64% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Miss Lady Eagles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 8 | 18 | 19 | 22 | 67 |
| Toledo Rockets | 15 | 18 | 18 | 25 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 9:25 swung win probability 64% → 92%.
Why Southern Miss Lady Eagles lost
- Lost Q1 8-15 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 9:25 (win probability 64% → 92% for the home side).
- Shot 38.6% eFG vs a 46.4% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets | 8–0 | Q3 9:25 | 64% → 92% |
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 9–0 | Q3 1:59 | 99% → 88% |
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 8–0 | Q4 7:19 | 99% → 84% |