Arkansas State Red Wolves 73, Eastern Michigan Eagles 76
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: Eastern Michigan Eagles
Eastern Michigan Eagles defeated Arkansas State Red Wolves 76–73 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:11 swung win probability 21% → 56%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Arkansas State Red Wolves lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 21 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 73 |
| Eastern Michigan Eagles | 14 | 14 | 19 | 17 | 12 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:11 swung win probability 21% → 56%.
Why Arkansas State Red Wolves lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 4:11 (win probability 21% → 56% for the home side).
- Shot 37.5% eFG vs a 46.3% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 9–0 | Q1 0:45 | 72% → 39% |
| Eastern Michigan Eagles | 10–0 | Q2 4:11 | 21% → 56% |