Fresno State Bulldogs 64, New Mexico Lobos 86
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-03 · Winner: New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico Lobos defeated Fresno State Bulldogs 86–64 on 2026-03-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 22-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:40 swung win probability 54% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Fresno State Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 12 | 17 | 19 | 16 | 64 |
| New Mexico Lobos | 21 | 23 | 16 | 26 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:40 swung win probability 54% → 90%.
Why Fresno State Bulldogs lost
- Lost Q4 16-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 3:40 (win probability 54% → 90% for the home side).
- Outscored 13-4 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Lobos | 12–0 | Q1 3:40 | 54% → 90% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 8–0 | Q3 8:30 | 95% → 100% |