UNLV Lady Rebels 68, Fresno State Bulldogs 54
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: UNLV Lady Rebels
UNLV Lady Rebels defeated Fresno State Bulldogs 68–54 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 14-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 8:33 swung win probability 46% → 15%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Fresno State Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 18 | 18 | 12 | 20 | 68 |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 10 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 54 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 8:33 swung win probability 46% → 15%.
Why Fresno State Bulldogs lost
- Lost Q1 10-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q4 5:33 (win probability 10% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 36.7% eFG vs a 43.4% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 8–0 | Q2 8:33 | 46% → 15% |
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 8–0 | Q2 1:33 | 29% → 5% |
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 12–0 | Q4 5:33 | 10% → 0% |