San José State Spartans 52, Fresno State Bulldogs 67
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-07 · Winner: Fresno State Bulldogs
Fresno State Bulldogs defeated San José State Spartans 67–52 on 2026-01-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 15-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q1 0:57 swung win probability 90% → 57%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why San José State Spartans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San José State Spartans | 14 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 52 |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 19 | 27 | 8 | 13 | 67 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q1 0:57 swung win probability 90% → 57%.
Why San José State Spartans lost
- Lost Q2 9-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 3:07 (win probability 92% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 30.4% eFG vs a 39.7% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 30-16.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 20-15.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 8–0 | Q1 4:12 | 69% → 90% |
| San José State Spartans | 11–0 | Q1 0:57 | 90% → 57% |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 8–0 | Q2 9:51 | 57% → 84% |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 11–0 | Q2 3:07 | 92% → 100% |