New Mexico Lobos 89, San José State Spartans 51
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico Lobos defeated San José State Spartans 89–51 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 38-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q2 8:14 swung win probability 58% → 15%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why San José State Spartans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Lobos | 13 | 24 | 23 | 29 | 89 |
| San José State Spartans | 4 | 8 | 19 | 20 | 51 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q2 8:14 swung win probability 58% → 15%.
Why San José State Spartans lost
- Lost Q2 8-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 8:14 (win probability 58% → 15% for the home side).
- Shot 35.1% eFG vs a 39.7% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 22-14.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 25-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Lobos | 11–0 | Q2 8:14 | 58% → 15% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 11–0 | Q2 1:22 | 13% → 0% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 9–0 | Q3 8:55 | 1% → 0% |