Fresno State Bulldogs 83, Colorado State Rams 86
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Colorado State Rams
Colorado State Rams defeated Fresno State Bulldogs 86–83 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 6:28 swung win probability 32% → 82%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Fresno State Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 21 | 21 | 14 | 27 | 83 |
| Colorado State Rams | 19 | 19 | 31 | 17 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 6:28 swung win probability 32% → 82%.
Why Fresno State Bulldogs lost
- Lost Q3 14-31 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 4:23 (win probability 43% → 78% for the home side).
- Outscored 26-9 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado State Rams | 10–0 | Q1 4:23 | 43% → 78% |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 8–0 | Q3 9:19 | 64% → 24% |
| Colorado State Rams | 10–0 | Q3 6:28 | 32% → 82% |