Wyoming Cowgirls 48, New Mexico Lobos 62
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico Lobos defeated Wyoming Cowgirls 62–48 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 14-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q3 0:44 swung win probability 90% → 28%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Wyoming Cowgirls lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyoming Cowgirls | 5 | 16 | 20 | 7 | 48 |
| New Mexico Lobos | 12 | 16 | 13 | 21 | 62 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q3 0:44 swung win probability 90% → 28%.
Why Wyoming Cowgirls lost
- Lost Q4 7-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 9:07 (win probability 28% → 88% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 19-15.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-7.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wyoming Cowgirls | 13–0 | Q2 6:17 | 89% → 42% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 8–0 | Q2 0:05 | 55% → 87% |
| Wyoming Cowgirls | 11–0 | Q3 0:44 | 90% → 28% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 9–0 | Q4 9:07 | 28% → 88% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 9–0 | Q4 0:57 | 95% → 100% |