Fresno State Bulldogs 59, UNLV Lady Rebels 85
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: UNLV Lady Rebels
UNLV Lady Rebels defeated Fresno State Bulldogs 85–59 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 26-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 5:30 swung win probability 60% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Fresno State Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 14 | 11 | 18 | 16 | 59 |
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 12 | 27 | 24 | 22 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 5:30 swung win probability 60% → 88%.
Why Fresno State Bulldogs lost
- Lost Q2 11-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q3 5:21 (win probability 94% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 39.3% eFG vs a 43.4% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 8–0 | Q2 5:30 | 60% → 88% |
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 13–0 | Q3 5:21 | 94% → 100% |