Mercer Bears 70, Tulane Green Wave 67
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-21 · Winner: Mercer Bears
Mercer Bears defeated Tulane Green Wave 70–67 on 2025-12-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 8:04 swung win probability 55% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Tulane Green Wave lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Bears | 17 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 5 | 70 |
| Tulane Green Wave | 13 | 12 | 22 | 18 | 2 | 67 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 8:04 swung win probability 55% → 88%.
Why Tulane Green Wave lost
- Shot 35.4% eFG vs a 44.1% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tulane Green Wave | 9–0 | Q2 6:40 | 36% → 69% |
| Tulane Green Wave | 9–0 | Q3 8:04 | 55% → 88% |