Illinois State Redbirds 66, Bradley Braves 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-08 · Winner: Illinois State Redbirds
Illinois State Redbirds defeated Bradley Braves 66–65 on 2026-03-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 1-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:00 swung win probability 99% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Bradley Braves lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 15 | 20 | 19 | 12 | 66 |
| Bradley Braves | 15 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:00 swung win probability 99% → 0%.
Why Bradley Braves lost
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 6:25 (win probability 59% → 11% for the home side).
- Shot 42.7% eFG vs a 47.6% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Braves | 13–0 | Q1 2:04 | 26% → 72% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 10–0 | Q3 6:25 | 59% → 11% |
| Bradley Braves | 8–0 | Q4 2:50 | 45% → 99% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 8–0 | Q4 0:00 | 99% → 0% |