Murray State Racers 100, Valparaiso Beacons 68
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Murray State Racers
Murray State Racers defeated Valparaiso Beacons 100–68 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 32-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 0:36 swung win probability 49% → 19%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Valparaiso Beacons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murray State Racers | 26 | 29 | 32 | 13 | 100 |
| Valparaiso Beacons | 14 | 14 | 20 | 20 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 0:36 swung win probability 49% → 19%.
Why Valparaiso Beacons lost
- Lost Q2 14-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 5:21 (win probability 20% → 1% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 12-7.
- Outscored 23-8 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Murray State Racers | 8–0 | Q1 0:36 | 49% → 19% |
| Murray State Racers | 12–0 | Q2 5:21 | 20% → 1% |
| Murray State Racers | 8–0 | Q3 4:31 | 0% → 0% |