Belmont Bruins 78, UIC Flames 70
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Belmont Bruins
Belmont Bruins defeated UIC Flames 78–70 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at OT 1:28 swung win probability 79% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UIC Flames lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont Bruins | 15 | 22 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 78 |
| UIC Flames | 15 | 18 | 13 | 22 | 2 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at OT 1:28 swung win probability 79% → 0%.
Why UIC Flames lost
- Lost Q5 2-10 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at OT 1:28 (win probability 79% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 42.1% eFG vs a 47.3% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 16-12.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UIC Flames | 8–0 | Q4 4:43 | 24% → 76% |
| Belmont Bruins | 12–0 | OT 1:28 | 79% → 0% |