Illinois State Redbirds 83, Valparaiso Beacons 42
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Illinois State Redbirds
Illinois State Redbirds defeated Valparaiso Beacons 83–42 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 41-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 8:31 swung win probability 19% → 4%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Valparaiso Beacons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 22 | 25 | 27 | 9 | 83 |
| Valparaiso Beacons | 9 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 42 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 8:31 swung win probability 19% → 4%.
Why Valparaiso Beacons lost
- Lost Q1 9-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q3 9:13 (win probability 2% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 26.6% eFG vs a 37.7% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 16-8 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 8–0 | Q2 8:31 | 19% → 4% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 12–0 | Q3 9:13 | 2% → 0% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 8–0 | Q3 1:54 | 0% → 0% |