Murray State Racers 73, Illinois State Redbirds 62
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-22 · Winner: Murray State Racers
Murray State Racers defeated Illinois State Redbirds 73–62 on 2026-02-22 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:11 swung win probability 92% → 39%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Illinois State Redbirds lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murray State Racers | 11 | 17 | 22 | 23 | 73 |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 20 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 62 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:11 swung win probability 92% → 39%.
Why Illinois State Redbirds lost
- Lost Q4 9-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 8:11 (win probability 92% → 39% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 13-9.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-3.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 16–0 | Q1 3:50 | 44% → 92% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 11–0 | Q2 1:04 | 76% → 98% |
| Murray State Racers | 9–0 | Q4 8:11 | 92% → 39% |
| Murray State Racers | 8–0 | Q4 1:21 | 32% → 0% |