Valparaiso Beacons 68, Drake Bulldogs 79
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-19 · Winner: Drake Bulldogs
Drake Bulldogs defeated Valparaiso Beacons 79–68 on 2026-02-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 17-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:50 swung win probability 5% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Valparaiso Beacons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valparaiso Beacons | 28 | 18 | 10 | 12 | 68 |
| Drake Bulldogs | 21 | 13 | 19 | 26 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 17-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:50 swung win probability 5% → 100%.
Why Valparaiso Beacons lost
- Lost Q4 12-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q4 0:50 (win probability 5% → 100% for the home side).
- Outscored 19-10 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Bulldogs | 8–0 | Q1 6:58 | 59% → 83% |
| Valparaiso Beacons | 8–0 | Q1 5:48 | 83% → 58% |
| Drake Bulldogs | 9–0 | Q3 1:58 | 7% → 37% |
| Drake Bulldogs | 17–0 | Q4 0:50 | 5% → 100% |