Valparaiso Beacons 37, Belmont Bruins 77
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-15 · Winner: Belmont Bruins
Belmont Bruins defeated Valparaiso Beacons 77–37 on 2026-02-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 40-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:07 swung win probability 78% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Valparaiso Beacons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valparaiso Beacons | 10 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 37 |
| Belmont Bruins | 21 | 18 | 23 | 15 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:07 swung win probability 78% → 98%.
Why Valparaiso Beacons lost
- Lost Q1 10-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 3:07 (win probability 78% → 98% for the home side).
- Shot 23.6% eFG vs a 37.7% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont Bruins | 12–0 | Q1 3:07 | 78% → 98% |
| Valparaiso Beacons | 8–0 | Q1 0:10 | 98% → 90% |
| Belmont Bruins | 10–0 | Q2 2:56 | 89% → 100% |
| Belmont Bruins | 10–0 | Q3 5:08 | 100% → 100% |
| Belmont Bruins | 8–0 | Q4 8:17 | 100% → 100% |