Belmont Bruins 48, Murray State Racers 69
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-18 · Winner: Murray State Racers
Murray State Racers defeated Belmont Bruins 69–48 on 2026-01-18 in NCAA Women's play, a 21-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:40 swung win probability 95% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Belmont Bruins lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont Bruins | 14 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 |
| Murray State Racers | 26 | 19 | 11 | 13 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:40 swung win probability 95% → 100%.
Why Belmont Bruins lost
- Lost Q1 14-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q4 1:11 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 35.6% eFG vs a 45.9% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 21-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Murray State Racers | 8–0 | Q2 1:40 | 95% → 100% |
| Belmont Bruins | 12–0 | Q4 6:00 | 100% → 100% |
| Murray State Racers | 11–0 | Q4 1:11 | 100% → 100% |