Valparaiso Beacons 74, Illinois State Redbirds 93
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: Illinois State Redbirds
Illinois State Redbirds defeated Valparaiso Beacons 93–74 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 19-point result. A 17-0 home team run ending at Q3 8:57 swung win probability 80% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Valparaiso Beacons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valparaiso Beacons | 23 | 12 | 15 | 24 | 74 |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 20 | 31 | 25 | 17 | 93 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 17-0 home team run ending at Q3 8:57 swung win probability 80% → 100%.
Why Valparaiso Beacons lost
- Lost Q2 12-31 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q3 8:57 (win probability 80% → 100% for the home side).
- Outscored 16-1 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 17–0 | Q3 8:57 | 80% → 100% |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 11–0 | Q3 5:26 | 100% → 100% |